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that 98%...
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Author:  Peticks [ Thu May 14, 2015 12:57 pm ]
Post subject:  that 98%...

Image

...

Author:  KJReed [ Thu May 14, 2015 5:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Are they active?

Author:  Chloron [ Thu May 14, 2015 6:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Peticks wrote:
Image


Why do you have my planet flagged!!!!!!! :shock: :shock: :o

Author:  Peticks [ Thu May 14, 2015 6:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Chloron wrote:
Peticks wrote:
Image


Why do you have my planet flagged!!!!!!! :shock: :shock: :o

that was your planet?
ahahahaha
note the was :P

and yeah the guy who owned it before was active, in a 60 member legion with 120% defence so XD

Author:  Sirier [ Sat May 30, 2015 2:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

I've also seen 95% and 97%.

Everyone knows you get 90% on invades that should be a given, ie 100%. 0 def/att, etc.
I've always assumed that when you get something higher than 90%, that that's your actual chances. Just like when it shows your chances below 90%. I just assume Dan coded only the 100% to show 90%, not the stuff in between, so they follow the coding for all the other failure chances.

This is just a theory, so please don't quote me on it. And if anyone has any evidence to the contrary, I welcome it.

Author:  asquall [ Sat May 30, 2015 9:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Sirier wrote:
I've also seen 95% and 97%.

Everyone knows you get 90% on invades that should be a given, ie 100%. 0 def/att, etc.
I've always assumed that when you get something higher than 90%, that that's your actual chances. Just like when it shows your chances below 90%. I just assume Dan coded only the 100% to show 90%, not the stuff in between, so they follow the coding for all the other failure chances.

This is just a theory, so please don't quote me on it. And if anyone has any evidence to the contrary, I welcome it.


90+ chances are only allowed if the owner is inactive for xxx
I don't know how long they can be inactive til they lose cloak and 'invasion chance def bonus'

Author:  Persephone [ Sun May 31, 2015 3:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Sirier wrote:
I've also seen 95% and 97%.

Everyone knows you get 90% on invades that should be a given, ie 100%. 0 def/att, etc.
I've always assumed that when you get something higher than 90%, that that's your actual chances. Just like when it shows your chances below 90%. I just assume Dan coded only the 100% to show 90%, not the stuff in between, so they follow the coding for all the other failure chances.

This is just a theory, so please don't quote me on it. And if anyone has any evidence to the contrary, I welcome it.


I failed a planet invasion yesterday and it said I had a 95% chance. I checked to see if the player was active and he was so I know it can happen. But your theory makes a lot of sense Sirier. I am inclined to think that anything above 90% is scaled down to 90% and for whatever reason a small glitch occurs from time to time that shows you your actual mathematical invade probability.

Author:  KJReed [ Sun May 31, 2015 6:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

Persephone wrote:
Sirier wrote:
I've also seen 95% and 97%.

Everyone knows you get 90% on invades that should be a given, ie 100%. 0 def/att, etc.
I've always assumed that when you get something higher than 90%, that that's your actual chances. Just like when it shows your chances below 90%. I just assume Dan coded only the 100% to show 90%, not the stuff in between, so they follow the coding for all the other failure chances.

This is just a theory, so please don't quote me on it. And if anyone has any evidence to the contrary, I welcome it.


I failed a planet invasion yesterday and it said I had a 95% chance. I checked to see if the player was active and he was so I know it can happen. But your theory makes a lot of sense Sirier. I am inclined to think that anything above 90% is scaled down to 90% and for whatever reason a small glitch occurs from time to time that shows you your actual mathematical invade probability.

im wondering if its close to this but instead of anything above 90% showing 90% its only above 100% showing as 90.
and anything inbetween shows up as what the calculated chance should be.
very hard to test for though.

Author:  juiceman [ Mon Jun 01, 2015 2:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: that 98%...

shakes fist at ambiguity of rng...damn the 2 standard deviation fail!!!

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